What follows is today’s monologue from the Roderic Deane Show:
There’s been quite a lot written about the Florida GOP moving it’s primary up to January 31st, which was made official a few weeks ago. Now, we have to see what the former early primary states will do. In all likelihood, those states will move their primary dates up significantly to maintain their stature as the first primary states.
To quote an article by Stacy McCain at the American Spectator:
Florida’s fateful decision Sept. 30 set in motion a chain of events which, as matters now stand, could result in New Hampshire holding its first-in-the-nation primary as early as December 6, less than two months from now. Although Florida had long threatened to break the RNC-imposed rule protecting the four states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina) that traditionally hold early nominating contests, the timing of Florida’s final decision — immediately after Herman Cain won a Sept. 24 straw-poll in Orlando — aroused deep suspicions from conservatives.
Worse yet, it seems that Marco Rubio’s chief of staff, Cesar Conda, was a major player in the effort to move Florida’s primary date up. In addition, he’s a huge Mitt Romney supporter who was formerly a major D.C. lobbyist and aide to Dick Cheney.
Take a wild guess who is benefited by earlier primaries? Yep, Mitt Romney. It seems the fix is in for the proverbial “next-in-line”. I can’t tell you how much that pisses me off. Herman Cain was just starting to gain traction as a conservative and he has now been rendered impotent by the change in rules.
Why do I say this? It’s because Herman Cain doesn’t have the resources to compete in a race without having lots of time to get his message out. The best way for establishment Republicans to torpedo his campaign is to shorten the field for Romney.
Think of it this way. Your favorite football team has tied the score against a major BCS team in the 2nd quarter and it’s now halftime. When the 2nd half begins, the rules have suddenly changed. Since your team won the toss to start the game, that major, BCS team will now receive the opening kickoff. But now, you will have to kick it to them from your own 10-yard line. The first team to score will win the game.
What would you do in such a case if you were the next team facing this major, BCS team. I know what I’d do. I’d say screw you and refuse to play this team. Why put your team at risk of injury when they have no hope of winning?
I think this played into Sarah Palin’s decision not to seek the GOP nomination. And I’m not the only one who thinks that way.
Josh Painter has been a past guest on this show and he penned an excellent piece on his blog last Friday. In it, he said this:
The primary shuffling will throw up obstacles that will be very difficult, if not insurmountable, not only for conservative candidates such as Cain, but also for any other candidate not named Mitt Romney. This had to have been a key factor in the political calculus of Sarah Palin, but don’t doubt that it was a consideration for Chris Christie and Rudy Giuliani as well. Not just political instincts, but good political intel were likely involved in all three of these decisions not to run. Christie’s quick endorsement of Romney so soon after he announced that he would not get into the race indicates that not only did the New Jersey governor realize that the fix for Romney was in, but like any political opportunist, he was determined to use it for his own future political gain.
Unlike Christie, Sarah Palin is not for sale and neither are her core supporters. In his follow-up piece for The American Spectator, Stacy attributes the increase in Cain’s poll numbers largely to Palin supporters jumping on board the Cain train following the governor’s announcement that she would not run. But if you look carefully at the polling data, it’s clear that Cain’s rise is almost directly proportional to Rick Perry’s decline. What Stacy seems to have missed is the fact that Sarah Palin’s strongest supporters are in no hurry to jump to any other candidate’s ship. Indeed, her own ship is not sinking. It has only lowered its sails “at this time.” Make no mistake: when a favorable breeze is felt, the canvas will again be hoisted. No one GOP presidential candidate even comes close to offering the complete package Gov. Palin’s supporters still see in her. A few of her fair weather “fans” may go with the flow (or the media’s “flavor of the month”), but her serious supporters know that only dead fish do that, as the governor has often said. No, it will take quite a lot for any other candidate to win the allegiance of the Palinistas. So far, we’re not seeing it from any one of them.
In addition to Josh’s article, Patrick S. Adams wrote another excellent piece that he published on his blog, Patrick’s World, and Conservatives4Palin yesterday morning. His piece was titled “Palin Exposes Problems in GOP by Not Running”. While a lengthy piece, here is the beginning:
More and more, people are starting to see that Sarah Palin’s decision to not run has left a gaping hole in the Republican field. Ever since she hit the campaign trail in 2008, the left wing media has pummeled her and the Republican establishment has been silent – and in some cases complicit. While Republican establishment types cringed behind closed doors fearing a run or weaved their fears tactfully into articles and commentaries leading up to the 2012 race, millions of regular everyday Americans were becoming fans on her Facebook page, with many of them giving time and/or money to support her. Even the most ardent of Palin supporters are finding out now that there was a lot more support for her than even they thought. Now that she’s not running, we’re learning a lot more about the GOP.
I would highly recommend that you to read his entire article. You can find it at Conservatives4Palin or PatricksWorldUSA. I’ll provide the link on my blog after the program.
Having said all that, how do you think the Tea Party feels about now. Well, I consider myself a Tea Partier and I’M PISSED OFF!
What the hell were the 2010 elections about? Damnit! If the GOP tries to cram Romney down my throat, I might just take my vote elsewhere. Screw it! I’ll vote for the conservative in the race and I don’t care if that candidate is part of the Republican Party or not! I am not willing to waste my vote on one more RINO Republican. Let the Republican and the Democrat Parties take responsibility for the downfall of our great nation. I vote to continue our Republic…..you know, the one our Constitution talks about. I will not vote for another establishment candidate for the rest of my life. No way, no how! Period, end of story!
…and that’s my two-cents worth for the week.
Links to today’s quoted articles:
Stacy McCain – Republican Campaign Apocalypse
Josh Painter – Did Team Palin uncover an October surprise in September?
Patrick S. Adams – Palin Exposes Problems in GOP by Not Running
Wall Street Journal Online – The Exasperation of the Democratic Billionaire
You can listen to today’s show HERE.