Another take on the Cruz-Dewhurst runoff election

I’m always amazed at the “outside-the-box” thinking that conservatives engage in. In a conversation tonight, a fellow conservative told me that they would be voting for David Dewhurst.

“Why?”, I exclaimed!

To their way of thinking, Texas needs to be rid of Dewhurst and get him out of controlling the Texas Senate. Better to send him to the convoluted cesspool of Washington, D.C. than have him remain in Texas to continue to hose up our legislature with his RINO tendencies.

“But what about Ted Cruz?”, I implored.

The thought was that Ted was still a work-in-progress that hadn’t earned his “chops” as a proven, conservative candidate in national politics. The idea conveyed to me was that he could use a few more years of seasoning and then run against our other GOPe Senator, John Cornyn, when Cornyn is up for re-election in 2 years. By then, we will have the infrastructure in place (rVotes) to fully re-capture MORE Senate and Congressional seats.

Although it’s hard to argue with that logic, I’m still going to vote for Ted Cruz. It’s just that I now have a certain satisfaction that I could win no matter WHO prevails in the Texas GOP Senate runoff come July 31st.

BTW, does anyone need a ride to the polls?

More observations from the Texas GOP Senate primary

Our thoughts now turn to the run-off election. Based on past run-offs, we can expect a much-reduced participation level. The battle will be waged in the major population areas of the state. Keeping that in mind, I present the early and election day results from the 10 largest voting counties in Texas. It’s looking good for Ted Cruz!

All the above data was obtained from the Texas Secretary of State.

My previous analysis is HERE.

Observations from a Texas primary

Something just struck me as I reviewed the latest numbers from the Texas GOP primary for the U.S. Senate. I broke out the results between early voting and actual election day. As I suspected was happening, Ted Cruz saw a HUGE surge of support leading into yesterday’s primary voting. Keep in mind that this surge of support occurred despite the deluge of negative adds from the Dewhurst campaign over the Memorial Day weekend.

Election results from Texas Secretary of State

Professor William Jacobson at Le-gal In-sur-rec-tion asks the question, “So, how does Cruz win?” I think the answer is fairly simple: He picks up support from the other, non-Dewhurst candidates. If they didn’t vote for Dewhurst before, they surely won’t vote for him in a run-off.

Texas GOP Primary Results

The polls closed at 7pm Central time, 8pm Eastern time. I’ll provide updates on the GOP Senate race as election returns become available from the Texas Secretary of State. All updates are Central time. The key to this race is keeping Dewhurst under 50%. That will trigger a run-off at the end of July, between Dewhurst and Cruz.

9:12:47 PM
This is my last update. This election is destined for a run-off. To see updated election results, you can go here: Texas Secretary of State Election Results

Precincts 1,740 19.82% (8,779 Total)
Dewhurst 311,282 46.79%
Cruz 203,273 30.55%
Others (7) 150,783 22.66%

Total 665,338

9:02:47 PM
Precincts 1,363 15.53% (8,779 Total)
Dewhurst 291,932 46.85%
Cruz 187,880 30.15%
Others (7) 143,316 23.00%

Total 623,128

This is looking like it WILL go to a run-off, which is a huge win for Ted Cruz.
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